Global Daily News
Data as of July 2026
Stagflation risk tracker
A live read on how close the U.S. economy sits to stagflation, built from GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment. Adjust the sliders to test your own scenario.
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Stagflation risk score, out of 100
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Elevated
High
Weighted from growth shortfall against a 2% trend pace (40%), inflation above the Federal Reserve's 2% target (40%), and the unemployment rate (20%). This is an educational estimate built from public data, not a market forecast or investment advice.
Data sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP), Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI and unemployment). Sliders are preset to the most recent released figures and should be updated when new data is published.
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